How a U.S. Government Debt Default Impacts Military Members and VeteransUpdated: September 29, 2022
The debt ceiling is an obligatory borrowing limit self-imposed by the U.S. government. In the past, it has been raised or postponed to prevent the U.S. from defaulting on its debt.
The cap on the debt ceiling is now $31.381 trillion. Janet Yeller, the Treasury Secretary, announced that on Jan. 19, 2023, the outstanding debt is expected to reach this new limit. To avoid drastic measures, the Treasury will stop investing money in various accounts, like the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund (CSRDF) and the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund (PSRHBF).
If that ever happens, what would it mean for U.S. service members and their families?
What does a government shutdown mean?
When the federal government shuts down, nonessential offices close due to the lack of funding, usually caused by a delay in the approval of the federal budget or because the U.S. has lost the ability to borrow (by surpassing its debt ceiling). If this happens, the shutdown will remain in effect until Congress passes legislation to raise the debt ceiling.
Historically, some agencies remain open during a government shutdown—the FBI, Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA), the Transportation Security Administration (TSA), Federal Reserve, and U.S. Post Offices. If these services were interrupted, “it would endanger the health, life, or personal safety of the public,” as laid out in the Constitution.
How the military impacts the economy
The Department of Defense (DOD) pours billions of dollars annually into the economy by operating more than 420 military installations in the 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam.
This spending sustains communities and offers employment across a range of industries. States benefit from defense contracts, while pensions and other benefits provide service members and their families with a reliable source of income.
How a shutdown could impact the military community
In a 2022 statement, Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III said, “if the United States defaults, it will undermine the economic strength on which our national security rests. It would also seriously harm our service members and their families.”
A shutdown would also impact the list of military benefits:
- Survivor Benefit Plan (SBP) Annuity Payments
- GI Bill payments
- Military Pay for Retired Veterans
- VA Disability Compensation
- Dependency and Indemnity Compensation (DIC)
- Survivors Benefits
In the worst-case scenario, nothing is paid until the debt ceiling is raised. The best-case scenario is that military benefits are repaid as funds become available.
Do past shutdowns predict the future?
In 2018, the U.S. federal government shut down from Dec. 22 through Jan. 25, 2019. It was the longest government shutdown in history. During this shutdown, military servicemen and women were advised of these possible outcomes:
Military pay in a government shutdown
The government advised reservists, active members of the Coast Guard, and the National Guard to work during the 2018 shutdown. However, they would not be paid unless Congress passed legislation to exempt military wages during the shutdown. Retired military personnel and Survivor’s Benefit plan recipients would still receive payment.
GI Bill benefits and VA disability pay
During the 2018 government shutdown, GI Bill benefits and VA disability pay were not affected. Yet, the VA warned that if the shutdown of 2013 were extended for more than a few weeks, checks to more than 5.1 million veterans would likely be delayed.
Medical care on- and off-base
Military hospitals, clinics, and dental offices would remain open during the shutdown, but only for emergencies. The shutdown would not impact off-base medical care.
On-base schools and childcare
On-base child care centers considered essential would remain open to military families. Schools would also remain open, but all extracurricular activities would be canceled.
Military troops killed in action
During the Jan. 2018 shutdown, the Pentagon’s $100,000 death gratuity paid to family members of troops killed in action would be delayed, as would military-funded travel for the transfer of their loved ones.
Military travel and change of station moves
Any plans for personnel and families preparing for temporary travel (TDY) or scheduled to make a permanent change of station (PCS) were put on hold until after the shutdown. Any military personnel already traveling were asked to return to their duty station until the shutdown was resolved.
How to prepare for a government shutdown
The Treasury will likely prioritize payments to all government agencies until the debt limit is raised. Where payments to military personnel fall on that list is anyone’s guess. It’s possible that payments and benefits could be delayed for weeks.
However, Sen. Jim Inhofe, R-Okla., the ranking member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, maintains that “disruptions to military pay and benefits are “not going to happen.”
Even so, it’s worth preparing for the worse. The Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) encourages veterans and their families to use VA services while the government discusses its plan for the federal budget. The VA compiled a list of points to consider during the 2019 shutdown that may be worth looking over in the off chance a shutdown occurs.